
ADAM E. CASEY
I am a Postdoctoral Fellow at the Weiser Center for Emerging Democracies at the University of Michigan. I received my Ph.D. in Political Science at the University of Toronto in 2020, and my Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science with a Minor in Russian at the University of Minnesota in 2014, where I graduated summa cum laude.
My research focuses on the durability of authoritarian regimes, comparative civil-military relations, great power foreign policy, and comparative democratization.
My work has been published in World Politics1,2, Post-Soviet Affairs1, Foreign Affairs1,2, Foreign Policy1, and the Washington Post1,2,3. My research has been cited in the Economist1, the New York Times1,2,3, and the Washington Post1,2.
I am currently working on two book manuscripts. The first considers the relationship between foreign support and authoritarian rule. My second book project (with Dan Slater) considers how the origins of national militaries shapes the political power of armies in Asia and beyond.
I have led several large data collection projects, including data sets on autocratic client regimes, authoritarian regime tenure, and social revolutions. The data and codebooks are available through links provided below.
I am also currently working on three new data sets: the wartime and postwar civil-military relations of rebel groups, the origins of militaries in the twentieth century, and military advisory deployments in the Cold War. Please contact me for information about any of these ongoing projects (aecasey[at]umich[dot]edu).
You can find a copy of my curriculum vitae here, my Google scholar page here, and more information about my past and ongoing research below.
PUBLISHED WORK
Peer-Reviewed Research Papers
Adam E. Casey. 2020. “The Durability of Client Regimes: Foreign Sponsorship and Military Loyalty, 1946-2010.” World Politics 72, no. 3, 411-47. [Data] [Codebook]
Jean Lachapelle, Steven Levitsky, Lucan A. Way, and Adam E. Casey. 2020. “Social Revolution and Authoritarian Durability.” World Politics 72, no. 4, 557-600. [Data] [Codebook] [New York Times] [Public Radio]
Lucan A. Way and Adam E. Casey. 2018. “The Structural Sources of Postcommunist Regime Trajectories.” Post-Soviet Affairs 34, no. 5: 317-32. [The Economist] [Republic] [Vox Ukraine]
Public Writing
Adam E. Casey. 2022. “Putin Has Coup-Proofed His Regime.” Foreign Policy, March 23. [New York Times] [Toronto Star] [Independent] [La Presse] [Al Jazeera] [Радио България]
Adam E. Casey and Seva Gunitsky. 2022. “The Bully in the Bubble: Putin and the Perils of Information Isolation.” Foreign Affairs, February 4. [New York Times] [Washington Post] [Congressional Research Service] [RFE/RL] [Freedom House] [BBC Brasil] [Salon] [CBS Eye on the World (pt 1)] [CBS Eye on the World (pt 2)] [Vox] [Meduza]
Adam E. Casey, Dan Slater, and Jean Lachapelle. 2021. “Taliban leaders are back in charge in Afghanistan. Can they control their own army?” Washington Post, August 27.
Adam E. Casey. 2021. “Something’s happening in Armenia. But is it a coup?” Washington Post, March 2.
Adam E. Casey and Seva Gunitsky. 2020. “The Weakness of the Strongman.” Foreign Affairs, March 23. [на русском]
Lucan A. Way and Adam E. Casey. 2018. “Russian Foreign Election Interventions since 1991.” PONARS Policy Memo No. 520. [Le Journal de Montréal]
Lucan A. Way and Adam E. Casey. 2018. “Russia has been meddling in foreign elections for decades. Has it made a difference?” Washington Post, January 8. [Codebook] [Washington Post] [U.S. House of Representatives] [RT] [RIA Novosti]
WORK IN PROGRESS
Book Manuscripts
Adam E. Casey. Arming Autocrats: How Foreign Powers Shaped Authoritarian Rule from the Cold War to the Present Day.
Adam E. Casey and Dan Slater. Warriors and Rulers: Military Creation and Military Control in Asia and Beyond
Working Papers
Adam E. Casey, Jean Lachapelle, and Lucan A. Way. “National Liberation and Decolonization.”
Jean Lachapelle and Adam E. Casey. “From Guerrillas to Government: The Wartime Origins of Authoritarian Durability.”
TEACHING
Course Instructor
“Survival and Demise of Dictatorships.” POL92H3F. University of Toronto, Scarborough. Fall Term, 2019. [Syllabus]
Teaching Assistant
“Democracy: Theory and Practice.” POL112. University of Toronto, Mississauga. Spring Term, 2018.
“Introduction to International Relations.” POL208. University of Toronto, St. George. Fall 2016 – Spring 2017.
“Democracy: Theory and Practice.” POL112. University of Toronto, Mississauga. Spring Term, 2016.